Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 7-2
Cardiff City vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
WAT
0 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
3 - 4
MID
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
PEZ
0 - 0
CAR
24%
21%
56%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
LEY
0 - 0
CAR
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 0
NAN
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
NAN
1 - 3
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
NAN
2 - 3
STR
61%
20%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAN
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |