Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
Cardiff City vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
CUM
1 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
CAR
1 - 3
BIR
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
BPO
3 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1967 |
HUL
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
XER
3 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |