Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 5
SOU
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BRO
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MID
0 - 5
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
25%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
0 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
SWA
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |