Cardiff City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
WBA
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1955 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
PNE
1 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1955 |
BPO
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 2
HUR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
MUD
3 - 0
HUR
70%
16%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1955 |
ASV
4 - 4
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
MUD
4 - 3
WOL
52%
22%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1955 |
MUD
3 - 1
LUT
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
BUR
0 - 0
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |