Cardiff City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 1
BIR
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
CAR
4 - 0
HUR
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
MUD
5 - 2
LEI
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
TOT
4 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 0
BCF
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
BCF
1 - 1
MUD
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |