Cardiff City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 3
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
3 - 1
LEE
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 1
WBA
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 1
BUR
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 2
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 2
LEE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1926 |
SHE
2 - 2
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |