Cardiff City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
ARS
5 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
BIR
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 2
BCF
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
BBU
6 - 3
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 0
TOT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 0
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
6 - 1
BUR
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1925 |
LIV
5 - 0
MUD
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |