Cardiff City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1962 |
CAR
2 - 3
WOL
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
MUD
3 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOT
24%
23%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
MAC
3 - 1
WBA
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
MAC
0 - 2
MUD
41%
22%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
MAC
3 - 2
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
BUR
6 - 3
MAC
76%
13%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |