Cardiff City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
SUN
5 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
CAR
1 - 3
WOL
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
CHL
2 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 1
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
MAC
2 - 1
SHE
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1953 |
SHE
2 - 2
MAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
WOL
3 - 1
MAC
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |