Cardiff City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
WBA
2 - 4
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 0
WBA
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
PNE
3 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
CAR
1 - 1
PNE
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
NEW
4 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
BBU
0 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |