Cardiff City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
CAR
2 - 3
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 0
BIR
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 4
CHL
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
LUT
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
1 - 0
OPA
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 2
BUR
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |