Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Cardiff City vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
BBU
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
HSV
1 - 1
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
CAR
1 - 0
CUM
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1968 |
CAR
1 - 0
QPR
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
BIR
0 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
HSV
0 - 0
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
HSV
1 - 1
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
MON
4 - 1
HSV
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
HSV
0 - 1
EIN
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
HSV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |