EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-4
Cardiff City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CAR
1 - 3
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
FUL
2 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
HAR
1 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
CAR
0 - 0
DAR
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
HAR
2 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1998 |
FUL
3 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
FUL
2 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
FUL
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
FUL
1 - 2
WAT
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
FUL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |