Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-6
Cardiff City vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
CAR
1 - 2
HUL
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1974 |
BPO
4 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
OPA
2 - 2
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
FTC
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
FTC
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
GWA
2 - 1
FTC
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FTC
0 - 1
GWA
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
FTC
55%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FTC
2 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |