Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Cardiff City vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HUR
3 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
CAR
2 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
OPA
1 - 3
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1968 |
CAR
4 - 0
BIR
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
CAR
1 - 0
PNE
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VST
3 - 1
FCP
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
45%
24%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |