Cardiff City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
WHU
3 - 1
CAR
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
MAC
3 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 0
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 2
SHE
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHE
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
WHU
4 - 1
EVE
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |