Cardiff City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
4 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 3
CAR
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1922 |
BBU
5 - 1
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 0
BBU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 0
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 2
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |