Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
Cardiff City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
QPR
3 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
SWA
0 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
CAR
0 - 1
SWA
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
DER
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
DER
0 - 3
AND
30%
23%
47%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1965 |
AND
9 - 0
DER
80%
13%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
DER
5 - 1
LYN
38%
22%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 1965 |
LYN
5 - 3
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |