Cardiff City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
WHU
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
LEI
4 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
CAR
3 - 1
OPA
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 2
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
DER
0 - 3
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
HUR
2 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
DER
1 - 1
TOT
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
MUD
5 - 0
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |