Cardiff City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SUN
2 - 2
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
3 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
CHL
0 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
SHE
3 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1927 |
WBA
1 - 2
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 2
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
DER
2 - 3
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1927 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BUR
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |