EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-2
Cardiff City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
ROC
1 - 1
CAR
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 2
SOU
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
CRY
2 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
BPO
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
WBA
1 - 0
CRY
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
CRY
2 - 3
NTT
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
HUR
1 - 2
CRY
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
CRY
2 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
CRY
1 - 1
QPR
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |