FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-3
Cardiff City vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
6 - 1
EXE
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
PLY
2 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
BBU
1 - 0
CRE
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
NTT
1 - 0
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 2
FUL
19%
27%
55%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 1
CRY
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 1
CRE
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |