FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-5
Cardiff City vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 1
SWI
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
4 - 0
HUR
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LUT
2 - 0
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
COL
1 - 2
CAR
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 2
BRI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 1
COV
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
SHE
0 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
COV
2 - 0
REA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
COV
3 - 0
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
WOL
0 - 2
COV
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |