Cardiff City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
TOT
3 - 2
CAR
87%
9%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1961 |
SHE
1 - 0
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 2
BPO
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
BBU
0 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |