Cardiff City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
DER
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SUN
2 - 2
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
3 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
CHL
0 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
SHE
3 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BCF
2 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 2
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
WHU
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1927 |
TOT
1 - 0
BCF
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |