Cardiff City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
BBU
6 - 3
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOT
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1925 |
TOT
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
HUR
1 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
BCF
7 - 4
SHE
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
BCF
2 - 1
BIR
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 1
BCF
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
BCF
0 - 5
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
BBU
1 - 2
BCF
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |