Cardiff City vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHE
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BPO
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 3
LEI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LEI
0 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 0
OXF
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 0
GRI
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BUR
0 - 2
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DAG
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |