Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
CAR
5 - 2
NEW
45%
22%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
ARS
0 - 0
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1956 |
CAR
0 - 0
TOT
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 2
WOL
39%
24%
36%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |