Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
TOT
0 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1954 |
CAR
3 - 2
OPA
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
PNE
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
OPA
3 - 2
BUR
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |