Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 2
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
BCF
3 - 0
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 1
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 7
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 1
SUN
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 2
BUR
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 5
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
1 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |