Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 2
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BBU
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
EVE
0 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
EVE
3 - 2
BUR
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
BUR
4 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
BUR
5 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
LEI
0 - 3
BUR
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |