Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1924 |
CAR
2 - 1
TOT
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
CAR
0 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
CAR
35%
30%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1924 |
BBU
2 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
3 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |