Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
1 - 0
PNE
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
MID
0 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
6 - 1
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
0 - 2
HUR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |