Cardiff City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
SHE
0 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOT
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
BUR
0 - 1
OLD
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 1
BUR
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 0
ARS
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |