Cardiff City vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
40%
24%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 0
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 1
PLY
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 0
POR
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 2
BRO
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |