Cardiff City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
CHL
1 - 2
CAR
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 3
PNE
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1956 |
BUR
6 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 3
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1957 |
BOL
5 - 3
LEE
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
TOT
4 - 0
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
BPO
4 - 2
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |