Cardiff City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1962 |
WHU
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
IPS
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1962 |
CAR
0 - 4
LEI
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1962 |
SHW
2 - 0
CAR
76%
14%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1962 |
CAR
0 - 3
FUL
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1962 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
BIR
3 - 0
SHE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 4
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1962 |
WHU
2 - 2
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 1
BBU
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |