Cardiff City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
NEW
4 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
CAR
3 - 1
EVE
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
TOT
1 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
CAR
0 - 1
MUD
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
WBA
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
BIR
5 - 0
HUR
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
BPO
2 - 0
BIR
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1955 |
BIR
3 - 0
CHL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1955 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1955 |
BIR
4 - 3
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |