Cardiff City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 0
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
SUN
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
CAR
2 - 1
WHU
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
WHU
3 - 2
CAR
37%
30%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
BBU
3 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
BIR
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |