Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
BPO
3 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
CAR
1 - 1
BBU
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
CAR
0 - 0
EVE
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
CAR
0 - 3
IPS
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 0
IPS
56%
20%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
LEI
0 - 2
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |