Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 0
PNE
37%
24%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
CAR
0 - 1
SHW
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 2
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 2
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 1
WHU
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
BPO
5 - 3
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1960 |
WHU
5 - 2
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
ASV
3 - 2
CHL
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |