Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
SUN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHA
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
CAR
2 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
NEW
4 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 3
MAC
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 2
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
SHE
2 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 2
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
CHA
3 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |