Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 0
CAR
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
SHW
1 - 1
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOT
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
CAR
0 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1955 |
LEI
4 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 0
WBA
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
66%
17%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 2
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |