Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 1
OPA
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 4
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
ASV
4 - 3
SHW
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
TOT
1 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 1
WBA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
WBA
3 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |