Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
CAR
3 - 0
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
BUR
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
WHU
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 0
ASV
57%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEE
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |