Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
SHE
3 - 4
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
4 - 4
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
WHU
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
LEI
4 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
ASV
2 - 0
BBU
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
MUD
5 - 1
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
ASV
1 - 2
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |