Cardiff City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 1
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
TOT
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 4
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |