Cardiff City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
MAC
4 - 2
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
CAR
1 - 3
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
CAR
1 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
5 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 0
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 3
TOT
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |