Cardiff City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 1
OPA
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
CAR
4 - 0
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 4
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1953 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1953 |
MAC
2 - 4
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
ARS
5 - 3
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |