Cardiff City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
SHW
1 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
CAR
0 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEI
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 0
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
4 - 4
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 3
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
EVE
4 - 2
ARS
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |